Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Huancayo win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for UTC Cajamarca had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Huancayo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest UTC Cajamarca win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Huancayo would win this match.