Although there will be plenty of attacking talent on display at the Olimpico, both coaches can be risk-averse on the big occasion, so this should be a final decided by a one-goal margin.
In fact, the evening could well end in penalties, but reigning Coppa champions Juve may have a late surprise in their armoury; taking vengeance for recent defeats to Inter with victory after 120 minutes of intense combat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
