EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Round of 16

Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Molineux Stadium

Wolves
2 - 0
Gillingham

Jimenez (77' pen.), Ait-Nouri (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Cadiz 3-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 14 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Gillingham 3-2 Dag & Red
Thursday, December 8 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Gillingham

Despite the gulf in class between these two teams, do not necessarily expect a one-sided contest. However, while Wolves may require some time to get up to speed under Lopetegui, we still expect the hosts to edge this contest by a narrow scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Gillingham
59.17% ( 0.43)	23.57% ( -0.02)	17.26% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 45.38% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.26% (

-0.5)

53.75% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78% (

-0.42)

75.23% (

0.43)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.1% (

-0.02)

17.9% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.3% (

-0.05)

48.7% (

0.06)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.27% (

-0.8)

44.73% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.29% (

-0.65)

80.71% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 59.16%

Gillingham 17.26%

Draw 23.57%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.16%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.57%	0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.54% Total : 17.26%