MX23RW : Saturday, June 1 05:02:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Goffertstadion
Heracles Almelo

Nijmegen
3 - 1
Heracles

Ogawa (51' pen., 59'), Chery (66')
Meijer (0'), Sow (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hornkamp (3')
Sonnenberg (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Heracles

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 3-1 Heracles

 Heracles have conceded the most goals of any Eredivisie team this season, and we can see them enduring another defensive collapse here en route to a disappointing defeat in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for NEC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for NEC.

Result
NECDrawHeracles
50.87% (1.332 1.33) 21.83% (-0.365 -0.37) 27.29% (-0.974 -0.97)
Both teams to score 64.9% (0.512 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.54% (1.02 1.02)34.46% (-1.025 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.61% (1.137 1.14)56.38% (-1.141 -1.14)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1% (0.803 0.8)13.89% (-0.808 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.68% (1.564 1.56)41.32% (-1.569 -1.57)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)24.62% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-0.155 -0.16)59.13% (0.15 0.15)
Score Analysis
    NEC 50.87%
    Heracles 27.29%
    Draw 21.83%
NECDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.193 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.31% (0.122 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.178 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.134 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.119 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.102 0.1)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 50.87%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.42% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.272 -0.27)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.29%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Heracles

NEC
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Heracles
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Heracles
2-1
Nijmegen
Hansson (61'), Ouahim (74')
Bruns (32'), Engels (90+6')
Ogawa (24')
Baas (28'), Marques (90+6')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
Nijmegen
0-0
Heracles
Tavsan (45+1')
Quagliata (81'), Knoester (85')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Heracles
0-1
Nijmegen

Bakis (27'), de la Torre (76'), Fadiga (77'), Blaswich (77'), Knoester (87')
Bakis (41')
Akman (50')
Marquez Alvarez (41'), Okita (90+1')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2017 3.45pm
Nijmegen
3-1
Heracles
Von Haacke (27', 33'), Golla (69')
Fomitschow (14')
Armenteros (14')
Kuwas (43')
Dec 2, 2016 7pm
Heracles
2-0
Nijmegen
Duarte (37'), Armenteros (83')
Bruns (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446
> Eredivisie Full Table


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