UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu

Sivasspor
1 - 4
Fiorentina

(Fiorentina win 5-1 on aggregate)

Yesilyurt (35')
Goutas (63'), Ulvestad (76'), Yesilyurt (90+2')
Arslan (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cabral (44'), Milenkovic (62'), Goutas (78' og.), Castrovilli (89')
Martinez (65'), Milenkovic (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Sivasspor and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sivasspor

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Istanbulspor 3-0 Sivasspor
Monday, March 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sivasspor 1-2 Fiorentina

If Fiorentina can replicate anywhere near the same quantity and quality of chances as they did in the first leg while, perhaps just as importantly, snuffing out Sivasspor's counter-attacking threat as effectively, Italiano's side will surely take their winning streak into the Conference League quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Sivasspor	Draw	Fiorentina
21.92% ( 0.02)	23.72% ( 0.09)	54.36% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 52.25% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.58% (

-0.38)

48.42% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44% (

-0.35)

70.55% (

0.35)

Sivasspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.49% (

-0.2)

36.51% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.7% (

-0.2)

73.3% (

0.2)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29% (

-0.18)

17.71% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.64% (

-0.31)

48.36% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Sivasspor 21.92%

Fiorentina 54.35%

Draw 23.72%

Sivasspor	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.92%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.35%