Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zeljeznicar win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zeljeznicar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Zeljeznicar	Draw	Neftchi Baku
45.65% ( 0.1)	26.68% ( -0.04)	27.67% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.54% (

0.09)

55.46% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.35% (

0.07)

76.65% (

-0.08)

Zeljeznicar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

0.09)

24.23% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.42% (

0.13)

58.58% (

-0.13)

Neftchi Baku Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.67% (

-0.01)

35.32% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

-0)

72.08% (

Score Analysis

Zeljeznicar 45.65%

Neftchi Baku 27.67%

Draw 26.67%

Zeljeznicar	Draw	Neftchi Baku
1-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.65%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.67%