Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Santos (3' og.),
Dembele (73'),
Mbappe (74', 82', 30' pen.),
Giroud (89', 90+1'),
Thuram (4'),
Zaire-Emery (16'),
Clauss (34'),
Coman (36', 65'),
Fofana (37'),
Rabiot (63')
FT(HT: 7-0)
We said: France 6-0 Gibraltar
Despite putting three unanswered goals past Gibraltar back in the summer, the manner of France's performance still left something to be desired, but Les Bleus should have few problems tearing their cellar-dwelling opponents to shreds here.
Gibraltar boss Ribas will likely employ a backs-against-the-wall approach from the first whistle, but once the deadlock is broken, the floodgates will surely open.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 99.47%. A draw had a probability of 0.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 5-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 6-0 (14.71%) and 4-0 (13.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.34%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (0.03%). The actual scoreline of 14-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result |
France | Draw | Gibraltar |
99.47% ( -0.01) | 0.5% ( 0.01) | 0.03% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 7.25% ( -0.2) |