FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 3
Exeter

Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Brown (43', 66'), Collins (89')
Stansfield (8'), Caprice (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Port Vale and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Wycombe 2-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 4-2 Exeter
Monday, October 31 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Exeter City

Although the previous meeting between the two sides ended in a dominant victory for Exeter, a lot has changed since then and with Port Vale in better form, they should progress to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Exeter City
51.43% ( 0.01)	24.57% ( 0.01)	24% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.13% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.19% (

-0.08)

49.8% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19% (

-0.07)

71.8% (

0.07)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64% (

-0.03)

19.35% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.86% (

-0.05)

51.14% (

0.04)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

-0.06)

35.35% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88% (

-0.07)

72.11% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 51.42%

Exeter City 24%

Draw 24.56%

Port Vale	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 51.42%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 24%