FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
1 - 2
Sunderland

Pennington (81')
Shipley (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stewart (90+2'), O'Nien (90+4')
Roberts (20')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Fleetwood
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Sunderland
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Sunderland

Despite the visitors being likely to make plenty of changes for their cup tie, we expect Sunderland to have too much strength-in-depth for Shrewsbury, who have seen their form significantly dip in recent outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Sunderland
20.61% ( -0.01)	24.5% ( -0.01)	54.89% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.12% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.02% (

0.01)

52.98% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.42% (

0.01)

74.58% (

-0.01)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.58% (

-0)

40.42% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.96% (

-0)

77.04% (

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78% (

0.01)

19.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.08% (

0.02)

50.92% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 20.61%

Sunderland 54.88%

Draw 24.49%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.31% 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.61%	1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 12.81% 0-2 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.94% Total : 54.88%