Greek Superleague | Gameweek 10

May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis

Aris
1 - 2
PAOK

Moron (47')
Montoya (39'), Verstraete (55'), Garcia (88'), Zamora (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brandon (30'), Taison (62')
Michailidis (1'), Kedziora (70'), Konstantelias (77')
Michailidis (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Aris Thessaloniki and PAOK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions

Last Game: Lamia 2-4 Aris
Wednesday, May 15 at 4pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

PAOK

All competitions

Greek Superleague

Last Game: PAOK 4-1 Panathinaikos
Wednesday, May 15 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PAOK in this match.

Result
Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	PAOK
26.63% ( 0.29)	23.62% ( 0)	49.75% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 57.84% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.51% (

0.19)

43.49% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.11% (

0.19)

65.88% (

-0.2)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.19% (

0.32)

29.81% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.11% (

0.39)

65.89% (

-0.39)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.4% (

-0.04)

17.59% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.83% (

-0.07)

48.16% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki 26.63%

PAOK 49.75%

Draw 23.61%

Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	PAOK
2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.63%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 49.75%