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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 25

Feb 14, 2022 at 5pm UK

Hatayspor
2 - 1
Goztepe SK

Biram Diouf (36'), El Kaabi (45')
Benzia (43'), Adekugbe (64'), Corekci (75'), Sackey (88'), Ergun (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Akbunar (59')
Moubandje (38'), Cankaya (73'), Di Santo (78')

Preview: Hatayspor vs. Goztepe SK - prediction, team news, lineups

By Ben Sully | 12 February 2022

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Goztepe SK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Hatayspor will be hoping to end a four-game winless run in all competitions when they welcome Goztepe SK to the Antakya Ataturk Stadium.

Meanwhile, the visitors enter the fixture in 15th place, with just two points separating themselves and the drop zone.

Match preview

The hosts enter the contest off the back of consecutive defeats across league and cup competitions, and they ended up on the wrong side of a seven-goal thriller last weekend, losing 4-3 away to Kayserispor.

Goals from Ibrahim Akdag and Carlos Mane gave the home side a two-goal advantage before Dylan Saint-Louis cut the lead in half, but Emrah Bassan and Ugur Demirok both netted to give Kayserispor a 4-1 lead.

Simon Falette and Mame Biram Diouf both grabbed a goal apiece to reduce the deficit to one, but they were unable to salvage anything from the encounter.

Another loss followed in midweek, with the 10-men of Hatayspor falling to a 2-0 defeat at home to Antalyaspor in the Turkish Cup.

Following their cup exit, Omer Erdogan's side will now turn their attention back to league matters as they look to close the four-point gap between them and the top four.

Meanwhile, Goztepe's run of six consecutive victories in all competitions came to end last weekend when they suffered a 2-0 defeat at home to Altay.

A cup exit in midweek followed after 120 minutes of football with Besiktas ended goalless before Goztepe lost 3-1 on penalties.

Goztepe's focus now will be on league matters, with Monday's visitors embroiled in a relegation battle despite losing once in their last six league games.

After winning their previous two Turkish Super Lig away matches by a 2-1 scoreline, Goztepe will be aiming to collect a third consecutive away league victory on Monday.

If Nestor El Maestro's side are to trouble their hosts, the threat could come late into the encounter with 10 of their 16 away league goals coming in the final 30 minutes of games this season.

Hatayspor Turkish Super Lig form:

Hatayspor form (all competitions):

Goztepe SK Turkish Super Lig form:

Goztepe SK form (all competitions):

Team News

Since returning from the Africa Cup of Nations, Munir has started the last two competitive games for Hatayspor and the goalkeeper will keep his place for Monday's encounter.

Munir's Moroccan team mate Ayoub El Kaabi came into the lineup for the midweek cup tie, and he is expected to feature in the starting XI for the Goztepe clash.

Diouf will be one of Hatayspor's main goal threats, having top-scored in the league for his side this term.

Meanwhile, Goztepe are without Adis Jahovic who is an injury absentee.

Dino Arslanagic and Obinna Nwobodo are both suspended for Monday's contest due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

Cherif Ndiaye will lead the line for the visitors as he looks to add to the seven league goals that he has scored this season.

Hatayspor possible starting lineup:
Munir; Corekci, Sackey, Oksuz, Kaplan; Ergun, Boudjemaa, El Kaabi; Lobjanidze, Saint-Louis, Diouf

Goztepe SK possible starting lineup:
Egribayat; Angel, Demirtas, Nukan; Alici, Kara, Aydogdu, Emir; Ndiaye, Akbunar, Di Santo

SM words green background

We say: Hatayspor 1-2 Goztepe SK

Hatayspor enter the contest in a poor run of form after failing to win any of their last four games in all competitions, while Goztepe have won four of their last five league matches, and we think that the visitors will prevail on Monday.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Goztepe SK win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.