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J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2023 at 5am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Kagawa (38'), Kato (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Honda (86')
Fujita (42'), Naganuma (49')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
46.29% (0.157 0.16) 25.45% (-0.302 -0.3) 28.25% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.11% (1.05 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (1.322 1.32)50.31% (-1.323 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (1.161 1.16)72.26% (-1.163 -1.16)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.627 0.63)21.73% (-0.629 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (0.949 0.95)54.9% (-0.951 -0.95)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.803 0.8)32.14% (-0.804 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.901 0.9)68.62% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 46.29%
    Sagan Tosu 28.26%
    Draw 25.45%
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.29%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 11am
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (52'), Patric (90+3')
Matsuda (66')
Honda (82')
May 3, 2022 7am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Fujita (83')
Tashiro (71')
Mendes (73' pen.)
Okuno (52')
Jul 24, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
3-3
Cerezo
Sakai (1'), Koyamatsu (8'), Higuchi (45+1')
Iino (51')
Kato (18', 69'), Sakamoto (87' pen.)
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')
Apr 2, 2021 11am
Cerezo
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Okuno (46')

Sento (42'), Seok-Ho (55'), Dudu (81')
Seok-Ho (77')
Dec 16, 2020 10am
Cerezo
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Toyokawa (44')
Higuchi (22'), Alves (90+1')
Nakano (24'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia16112327121535
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers16102427171032
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1692524121229
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka168441511428
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa167362622424
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo166642218424
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1558226151123
9FC Tokyo166552625123
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol155731717022
11Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Jubilo Iwata165382224-218
14Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
15Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
16Albirex Niigata164481925-616
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare163582230-814
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1624101230-1810
> J1 League Full Table


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