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J1 League | Gameweek 16
Jun 3, 2023 at 8am UK
Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
Cerezo

Izumi (21'), Maruyama (31'), Mateus (43')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 27 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Yokohama FC
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.12%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
36.12% (-0.213 -0.21) 28.61% (0.416 0.42) 35.26% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 45.97% (-1.23 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.52% (-1.502 -1.5)60.48% (1.497 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.4% (-1.148 -1.15)80.6% (1.144 1.14)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-0.898 -0.9)31.91% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (-1.036 -1.04)68.36% (1.031 1.03)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (-0.90600000000001 -0.91)32.47% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-1.029 -1.03)68.99% (1.023 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 36.11%
    Cerezo Osaka 35.26%
    Draw 28.61%
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 10.36% (0.567 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.26%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 5am
May 14, 2022 6am
gameweek 13
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Sento (6')
Nov 27, 2021 5am
gameweek 37
Cerezo
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Fujita (80'), Nishio (87')
Kakitani (67')
Nagasawa (77')
May 8, 2021 7am
gameweek 13
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Yoshida (66')
Yonemoto (70'), Kakitani (77')

Takagi (59')
Oct 10, 2020 6am
gameweek 34
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Mateus (90+1')
Abe (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia17112428151335
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers17112430191135
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka179441712531
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1793525131230
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1668228151326
6FC Tokyo177552725226
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus178272019126
8Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa177462723425
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo176742319425
10Avispa Fukuoka176741717025
11Tokyo Verdy175932626024
12Kashiwa ReysolReysol175751723-622
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama155552421320
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki175572525020
15Albirex Niigata175482226-419
16Jubilo Iwata175392226-418
17Sagan Tosu1642102128-714
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare173592332-914
19Kyoto Sanga1725101331-1811
20Consadole SapporoConsadole1725101636-2011


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