We say: Almeria 1-3 Barcelona
Having scored in each of their last five matches, Almeria may fancy their chances of breaching Barcelona's backline in Thursday's contest.
However, even if the hosts get on the scoresheet, we still expect the visitors to create enough opportunities to claim a routine win over the league's basement side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 24.17% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Almeria win is 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.97%).