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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Real Betis logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 2
Betis

Vesga (30' pen., 45' pen.), Guruzeta (45+7'), Gomez Etxebarria (84')
Paredes (59'), Ruiz de Galarreta (61'), Vesga (79'), Berenguer (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Jose (2'), Isco (10')
Rodriguez (44'), Vinicius (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 0-0 Atletico
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis

Athletic will be missing some important players this weekend, but the same can also be said for Real Betis. We were close to backing an away win, and it would not be a surprise to see the visitors triumph here, but Athletic are good enough to claim a share of the spoils in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
47.17% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 26.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 26.41% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.76% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)55.24% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.53% (-0.026 -0.03)76.47% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)23.42% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)57.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.24% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (0.021999999999998 0.02)73.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 47.16%
    Real Betis 26.41%
    Draw 26.42%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.61% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.41%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis

Athletic Bilbao
36.8%
Draw
22.8%
Real Betis
40.4%
57
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 9pm
Dec 29, 2022 6.15pm
Mar 13, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Betis
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Iglesias (20')
Pezzella (25'), Miranda (28'), Ruibal (76'), Canales (80')
Fekir (80')

Berchiche (8'), Berenguer (16'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (80'), Sancet (80')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Betis
Williams (2', 72'), De Marcos (89')
Zarraga (58')
Juanmi (6'), Fekir (52')
Fekir (49'), Rodriguez (58'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Apr 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Betis
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Rodriguez (55'), Guardado (82'), Bravo (88')
Fekir (11')
de Marcos (43'), Nunez (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia35139133739-248
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
15Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
16Mallorca36715142941-1236
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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