La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 15, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Athletic Bilbao2 - 0Real Sociedad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Espanyol 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, April 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Getafe
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Real Sociedad
An entertaining contest could be on the cards this weekend between two teams seeking to boost their European hopes by claiming maximum points against their closest rivals. Real Sociedad came out on top in the reverse fixture earlier this year, but we believe that Athletic Bilbao will come away with at least a point in front of their own fans this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 27.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad |
45.51% ( -0.07) | 27.43% ( -0.01) | 27.06% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.47% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
