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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Las Palmas

Celta Vigo
4 - 1
Las Palmas

Aspas (37', 76'), Swedberg (39'), Douvikas (71')
Strand Larsen (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Herzog (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Las Palmas

There has only been one draw in the last six La Liga meetings between these two sides, but we can see the points being shared this weekend. Celta have been poor at home this term, but Las Palmas are not particularly strong on their travels, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawLas Palmas
49.5% (0.346 0.35) 25.78% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.72% (-0.343 -0.34)
Both teams to score 49.24% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.02% (-0.246 -0.25)53.97% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58% (-0.207 -0.21)75.42% (0.205 0.2)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.048000000000002 0.05)21.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (0.076999999999998 0.08)55.05% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (-0.437 -0.44)37% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.21% (-0.436 -0.44)73.79% (0.432 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 49.5%
    Las Palmas 24.72%
    Draw 25.78%
Celta VigoDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.5%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.72%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas

Celta Vigo
54.3%
Draw
34.3%
Las Palmas
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Las Palmas
2-1
Celta Vigo
Viera (84' pen.), Cardona (90+7')
Marmol (74'), Cardona (90+8')
Douvikas (67')
Starfelt (83')
Mar 5, 2018 8pm
Oct 16, 2017 8pm
Las Palmas
2-5
Celta Vigo
Vitolo (90'), Remy (90')
Bigas (51'), Aquilani (61')
Mor (16'), Aspas (20', 49', 76'), Hernandez (71')
Jozabed (27')
Blanco (52')
Apr 3, 2017 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
3-1
Las Palmas
Rossi (13', 36', 57')
Roncaglia (24'), Jonny (45')
Bigas (80')
Bigas (17'), Rodriguez (52')
Oct 30, 2016 7.45pm
Las Palmas
3-3
Celta Vigo
Bigas (52'), Viera (66' pen.), Boateng (68')
Boateng (50'), Momo (88')
Wass (6'), Aspas (14', 21')
Mallo (11'), Radoja (27'), Gomez (40'), Aspas (43'), Pedro Hernandez (60'), Wass (74'), Diaz (90')
Gomez (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia35139133739-248
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca36715142941-1236
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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