Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
45.24% ( -0.08) | 26.83% ( 0.01) | 27.93% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.75% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.13% ( 0.01) | 55.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.02% ( 0.01) | 76.98% ( -0.01) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% ( -0.03) | 24.61% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% ( -0.05) | 59.11% ( 0.05) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.66% ( 0.06) | 35.33% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% ( 0.06) | 72.09% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 27.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |