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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Atletico Madrid logo

Elche
1 - 0
Atletico

Fidel (41')
Fidel (30'), Blanco (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Elche
Tuesday, May 2 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 5-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 3 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 0-3 Atletico Madrid

Atletico have arguably been the best La Liga team since the turn of the year, and they will be looking to finish the season strongly with a view to claiming second. Elche are now playing under no pressure, which should help them, but we are struggling to predict anything other than a comfortable away success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Elche had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
ElcheDrawAtletico Madrid
18.3% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 21.94% (0.211 0.21) 59.76% (-0.299 -0.3)
Both teams to score 52.18% (-0.511 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)45.64% (0.767 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-0.733 -0.73)67.96% (0.735 0.73)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.3% (-0.347 -0.35)38.7% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.56% (-0.334 -0.33)75.44% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (-0.348 -0.35)14.87% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (-0.669 -0.67)43.21% (0.669 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Elche 18.3%
    Atletico Madrid 59.75%
    Draw 21.94%
ElcheDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 5.46% (0.126 0.13)
2-1 @ 4.94% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.59% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 18.3%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 10.96% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 10.45% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 59.75%

How you voted: Elche vs Atletico

Elche
16.3%
Draw
2.0%
Atletico Madrid
81.6%
49
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 15
Atletico
2-0
Elche
Felix (56'), Morata (74')

Gonzalo (45+1')
May 11, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 36
Elche
0-2
Atletico

Milla (7'), Bigas (40')
Cunha (28'), De Paul (62')
Lodi (35'), Kondogbia (90+3')
Aug 22, 2021 6.30pm
gameweek 2
Atletico
1-0
Elche
Correa (39')
Suarez (90'), Kondogbia (90+5')

Gonzalo (65'), Benedetto (87')
May 1, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 34
Elche
0-1
Atletico

Milla (69'), Boye (75'), Barragan (76')
Llorente (23')
Lemar (36'), Carrasco (41')
Dec 19, 2020 1pm
gameweek 14
Atletico
3-1
Elche
Suarez (41', 58'), Costa (80' pen.)
Hermoso (40')
Boye (64')
Gonzalo (14'), Marcone (79'), Almiron (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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