Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Girona |
31.18% ( -0.27) | 27.31% ( -0.23) | 41.51% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 48.98% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.64% ( 0.8) | 56.36% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.61% ( 0.64) | 77.38% ( -0.64) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( 0.23) | 33.13% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( 0.25) | 69.73% ( -0.25) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% ( 0.64) | 26.75% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% ( 0.84) | 62.02% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |