Alaves have been so disappointing on their travels in the league this season, so it is difficult to back the visitors with any real confidence despite their win over Rayo last time out. Mallorca have been relatively strong at home this season, meanwhile, and we fancy the Pirates to shade a close contest here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mallorca in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mallorca.
