Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Las Palmas |
39.34% ( -0.03) | 27.09% ( 0.02) | 33.57% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.32% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.01% ( -0.06) | 54.98% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% ( -0.05) | 76.26% ( 0.05) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.7% ( -0.05) | 27.29% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.27% ( -0.06) | 62.73% ( 0.06) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.21% ( -0.02) | 30.79% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% ( -0.03) | 67.06% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |