Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
51.18% ( -0.1) | 24.34% ( 0.06) | 24.49% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% ( -0.22) | 48.4% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% ( -0.21) | 70.54% ( 0.21) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% ( -0.13) | 18.91% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.59% ( -0.21) | 50.41% ( 0.21) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% ( -0.09) | 34.16% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.14% ( -0.09) | 70.86% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.18% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 24.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |