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La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Atletico Madrid logo

Sevilla
1 - 0
Atletico

Romero (15')
Suso (70'), En-Nesyri (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Witsel (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Sevilla will be full of confidence following their win over Rayo, and the hosts will also be the fresher of the two sides. Atletico are in desperate need of the points to keep themselves in the top four, though, and we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way through a tough game to secure a vital win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
38.1% (-0.439 -0.44) 25.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 36.74% (0.517 0.52)
Both teams to score 57.19% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61% (0.396 0.4)46.39% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.33% (0.371 0.37)68.67% (-0.37 -0.37)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)24.01% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)58.26% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (0.46899999999999 0.47)24.74% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7% (0.652 0.65)59.3% (-0.653 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 38.1%
    Atletico Madrid 36.74%
    Draw 25.15%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38.1%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.033 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 36.74%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Atletico

Sevilla
10.4%
Draw
13.2%
Atletico Madrid
76.4%
144
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Atletico
1-0
Sevilla
Depay (79')
Gimenez (63'), Hermoso (71'), Koke (75'), Simeone (90+5')

Torres (33'), Ramos (39'), Pedrosa (62'), Lamela (73'), Rakitic (82'), Mir (90+8')
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Atletico
1-0
Sevilla
Llorente (46')
Molina (27'), Gimenez (38'), Witsel (77'), Correa (77'), De Paul (85'), Llorente (90+4'), Azpilicueta (90')
Soyuncu (70')

Suso (43'), Salas (68'), Ramos (83')
Aug 6, 2023 3am
Club Friendlies
Sevilla
1-1
Atletico
Mir (66')
Jordan (57')
Correa (84')
Soyuncu (33')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 24
Atletico
6-1
Sevilla
Depay (23', 26'), Griezmann (53'), Carrasco (69'), Morata (76', 90+2')
En-Nesyri (39')
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sevilla
0-2
Atletico
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia35139133739-248
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca36715142941-1236
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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