Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas |
32.5% ( -0.92) | 27.49% ( -0.3) | 40.01% ( 1.22) |
Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.28% ( 0.95) | 56.72% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.33% ( 0.76) | 77.67% ( -0.75) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% ( -0.14) | 32.39% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.09% ( -0.16) | 68.91% ( 0.16) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% ( 1.15) | 27.73% ( -1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.69% ( 1.45) | 63.3% ( -1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |