Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
60.89% | 23.37% | 15.74% |
Both teams to score 43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.69% | 55.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.48% | 76.52% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% | 17.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.39% | 48.61% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.34% | 47.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.02% | 82.97% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 14.65% 2-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 5.38% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.99% 5-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.1% Total : 60.88% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.31% 1-2 @ 4.03% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |