League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
2 - 2
Plymouth

Coburn (47'), Collins (57')
Loft (37')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Azaz (14'), Randell (45+2')
Houghton (23'), Randell (31'), Galloway (69'), Lonwijk (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Swindon
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Palace U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

With both teams in fine form, we expect Saturday's game to be a closely-fought contest, but we think that Plymouth will maintain their lead at the top of the league table by claiming a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
35.02% ( 0.11)	24.54% ( 0.03)	40.44% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 59.19% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29% (

-0.14)

43.7% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.9% (

-0.13)

66.09% (

0.13)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54% (

-0)

24.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.1% (

-0)

58.89%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

-0.13)

21.64% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.23% (

-0.2)

54.77% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 35.02%

Plymouth Argyle 40.44%

Draw 24.53%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.02%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.44%