League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Cheltenham

Goodrham (38'), Joseph (52'), Browne (60', 65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Broom (45+3'), Ferry (75'), Rea (86')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Cheltenham Town

Oxford have netted just six goals in their last eight games at the Kassam Stadium, and Cheltenham have lost seven of their 10 road matches in 2023. Neither side can be backed for success on Tuesday night, making a stalemate likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Cheltenham Town
47.47% ( 0.42)	26.09% ( 0.01)	26.45% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 49.85% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.07% (

-0.29)

53.93% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.62% (

-0.24)

75.38% (

0.25)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.28% (

0.07)

22.72% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.61% (

0.1)

56.39% (

-0.1)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.5% (

-0.51)

35.5% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74% (

-0.53)

72.26% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 47.47%

Cheltenham Town 26.45%

Draw 26.08%

Oxford United	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.47%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.45%