League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Ogundere (7' og.)
Glennon (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Davison (34'), Ogundere (43'), Nightingale (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

No team has drawn more home games in League Two than Grimsby (10) this season, and we are predicting another stalemate here. AFC Wimbledon have avoided defeat in 12 of their 22 away league games this term and have enough quality to emerge with a point on the final matchday of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
47.1% ( 0.15)	27.48% ( 0.02)	25.42% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 45.15% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.4% (

-0.16)

59.6% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.07% (

-0.13)

79.93% (

0.13)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

-0)

25.37% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.83% (

-0)

60.17% (

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.5% (

-0.24)

39.5% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.81% (

-0.22)

76.19% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 47.09%

AFC Wimbledon 25.42%

Draw 27.47%

Grimsby Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 47.09%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 25.42%