League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
1 - 4
Salford City

Khan (21')
Glennon (22')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Smith (1', 34', 40'), Galbraith (30')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Harrogate 3-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Barrow
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Salford City

In a match with permutations at both ends of the table, we expect both sides to create plenty of chances in what will be a tight affair. This will be reflected in the scoreline, as Grimsby and Salford will prove inseparable and will come out of the match with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Salford City
35.19% ( 0.19)	26.96% ( 0.02)	37.85% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 51% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.76% (

-0.05)

54.24% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.36% (

-0.04)

75.64% (

0.04)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.62% (

0.09)

29.37% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.64% (

0.12)

65.36% (

-0.12)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21% (

-0.14)

27.78% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.63% (

-0.18)

63.37% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 35.19%

Salford City 37.85%

Draw 26.95%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Salford City
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.19%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.85%