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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
32.47% ( 3.19) | 28.19% ( 0.26) | 39.34% ( -3.45) |
Both teams to score 46.81% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.72% ( -0.02) | 59.28% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.31% ( -0.02) | 79.69% ( 0.02) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% ( 2.35) | 33.74% ( -2.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.6% ( 2.48) | 70.4% ( -2.47) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( -1.93) | 29.35% ( 1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% ( -2.44) | 65.33% ( 2.44) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.37) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.46% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.66) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.84) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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