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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Sutton United |
56.96% ( -0.55) | 23.61% ( 0.11) | 19.43% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 48.96% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.06% ( 0.15) | 50.94% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.19% ( 0.13) | 72.81% ( -0.13) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.32% ( -0.15) | 17.68% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.69% ( -0.25) | 48.31% ( 0.24) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.47% ( 0.58) | 40.52% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.87% ( 0.52) | 77.13% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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