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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | MK Dons |
69.03% ( 3.21) | 17.33% ( -1.8) | 13.65% ( -1.41) |
Both teams to score 57.6% ( 2.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.69% ( 5.56) | 33.31% ( -5.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.92% ( 6.11) | 55.08% ( -6.11) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.26% ( 2.28) | 8.74% ( -2.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.95% ( 5.29) | 30.04% ( -5.29) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.12% ( 1.68) | 36.88% ( -1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.33% ( 1.64) | 73.67% ( -1.64) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | MK Dons |
2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -1.52) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.52) 4-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.55) 4-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.74) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.42) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.46) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.46) 5-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.54) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.31) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.26) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.18% Total : 69.03% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -1.1) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -1.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.33% | 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.84) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 13.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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