Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 6, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 0
Lecce

Pulisic (6'), Giroud (20'), Leao (57')
Chukwueze (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Blin (34')
Krstovic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Roma
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Milan have lost just one of their last 24 matches against Lecce in Serie A - and not at all for nearly two decades - while the Salentini are one of the weakest away sides in Italy's top flight. Even with an eye on their big continental contest next week, the hosts should be able to take care of business without too much fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Lecce
66.59% ( 0.25)	20.2% ( -0.1)	13.21% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 46.11% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.3% (

0.07)

47.7% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.1% (

0.07)

69.9% (

-0.07)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.57% (

0.1)

13.43% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.61% (

0.2)

40.39% (

-0.2)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.26% (

-0.2)

46.74% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.71% (

-0.15)

82.29% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 66.58%

Lecce 13.21%

Draw 20.2%

AC Milan	Draw	Lecce
2-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.64% Total : 66.58%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.2%	0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.12% Total : 13.21%