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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Roma logo

Lecce
0 - 0
Roma


Piccoli (38'), Baschirotto (45'), Ramadani (81')
FT

N'Dicka (11'), Cristante (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-1 Lecce
Saturday, March 16 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 17 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-2 Roma

Despite optimism after Gotti secured success on his Lecce bow, Roma's momentum under De Rossi and the precedent in this fixture should see the Giallorossi claim their eighth Serie A win since January's managerial change. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawRoma
26.96% (0.518 0.52) 26.16% (-0.052 -0.05) 46.88% (-0.465 -0.46)
Both teams to score 50.02% (0.541 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (0.51 0.51)53.9% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.427 0.43)75.36% (-0.426 -0.43)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (0.702 0.7)35.06% (-0.701 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (0.728 0.73)71.81% (-0.727 -0.73)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.0049999999999955 0)56.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 26.96%
    Roma 46.87%
    Draw 26.15%
LecceDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.51% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 26.96%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.87%

How you voted: Lecce vs Roma

Lecce
9.5%
Draw
10.2%
Roma
80.3%
137
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Azmoun (90+1'), Lukaku (90+4')
Sanches (76'), Llorente (89'), Lukaku (90+6')
Almqvist (72')
Banda (17'), Dorgu (27'), Ramadani (77'), Touba (81'), Espeto (87')
Feb 11, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lecce
1-1
Roma
Ibanez (7' og.)
Dybala (17' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Smalling (6'), Dybala (48' pen.)
Espeto (39')
Jan 20, 2022 8pm
Final
Roma
3-1
Lecce
Kumbulla (40'), Abraham (54'), Shomurodov (81')
Afena-Gyan (38'), Ibanez (71'), Abraham (76')
Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 25
Roma
4-0
Lecce
Under (13'), Mkhitaryan (37'), Dzeko (69'), Kolarov (80')
Mancini (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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