Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Roma |
34.12% ( -0.04) | 29.14% ( -0.76) | 36.74% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 44.41% ( 2.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.64% ( 2.47) | 62.36% ( -2.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18% ( 1.77) | 82% ( -1.77) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% ( 1.29) | 34.22% ( -1.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.08% ( 1.36) | 70.91% ( -1.36) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.52% ( 1.82) | 32.48% ( -1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.99% ( 2) | 69.01% ( -2) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.69) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.32% Total : 34.12% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( -1.07) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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