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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Bologna logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Bologna

Bonaventura (17'), Gonzalez (48' pen.)
Bonaventura (45+2'), Ranieri (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zirkzee (33' pen.)
Saelemaekers (36'), Motta (40'), Aebischer (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cukaricki 0-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Lazio
Friday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Bologna

Despite Bologna's keenness to secure their first away points of 23-24 to push them into fifth place, both sides may have to make do with sharing the spoils in Florence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawBologna
64.91% (-0.012 -0.01) 19.54% (0.02 0.02) 15.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.4% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19% (-0.138 -0.14)39.81% (0.13 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.83% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)62.16% (0.134 0.13)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.46% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)11.53% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.55% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)36.44% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.105 -0.1)38.51% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.1 -0.1)75.26% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 64.91%
    Bologna 15.54%
    Draw 19.54%
FiorentinaDrawBologna
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.46% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 3.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 64.91%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.54%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 4.24% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 15.54%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Bologna

Fiorentina
38.2%
Draw
29.4%
Bologna
32.4%
34
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 21
Fiorentina
1-2
Bologna
Saponara (19')
Orsolini (14' pen.), Posch (47')
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 6
Bologna
2-1
Fiorentina
Barrow (59'), Arnautovic (62')
Martinez (54')
Mar 13, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Fiorentina
1-0
Bologna
Torreira (70')
Torreira (76')

Bonifazi (23'), Soumaoro (73'), Hickey (86'), Sansone (90+3')
Bonifazi (41')
Dec 5, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 16
Bologna
2-3
Fiorentina
Barrow (42'), Hickey (83')
Dominguez (24'), Theate (50'), Soumaoro (90+4')
Maleh (33'), Biraghi (51'), Vlahovic (67' pen.)
Torreira (25'), Milenkovic (64'), Amrabat (90')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Bologna
3-3
Fiorentina
Palacio (31', 71', 84')
Soumaoro (20'), Svanberg (47')
Vlahovic (21' pen., 74'), Bonaventura (64')
Milenkovic (76'), Julio (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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