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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
45.18% (![]() | 26.24% (![]() | 28.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.7% (![]() | 53.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.15% (![]() | 74.84% (![]() |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.48% (![]() | 23.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.45% (![]() | 57.55% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.54% (![]() | 33.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.91% (![]() | 70.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 12.46% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 28.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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