Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Metz |
40.07% ( 0.33) | 25.92% ( 0.03) | 34.01% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.9% ( -0.21) | 50.1% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% ( -0.18) | 72.07% ( 0.18) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( 0.08) | 24.65% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.83% ( 0.11) | 59.17% ( -0.11) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% ( -0.32) | 28.09% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% ( -0.41) | 63.76% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |