Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Le Havre |
57.28% ( -0.01) | 23.17% ( -0.01) | 19.54% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.46% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% ( 0.05) | 49.03% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% ( 0.04) | 71.11% ( -0.05) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.12% ( 0.01) | 16.87% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.1% ( 0.03) | 46.9% ( -0.03) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% ( 0.04) | 39.3% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24% ( 0.04) | 76% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |