Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Monza |
38.3% ( -0.61) | 28.14% ( -0.05) | 33.57% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 47.19% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.09% ( 0.27) | 58.91% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.6% ( 0.21) | 79.4% ( -0.21) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% ( -0.23) | 29.78% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% ( -0.27) | 65.86% ( 0.28) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( 0.59) | 32.8% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.64% ( 0.66) | 69.36% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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