Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
1 - 0
Clermont

Sotoca (3' pen.)
Magnin (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rashani (18'), Carpini (18'), Keita (40'), Machado (45'), Magnin (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 2-1 Lens
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Despite Lens' ongoing winless run, that should end on Saturday. Clermont have not only lost their last four Ligue 1 matches at Lens, but a run of one victory in 10 road matches highlights the struggles of the bottom club to notch results on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Lens	Draw	Clermont
61.07% ( 0.01)	21.66% ( -0.02)	17.26% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.06% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.88% (

0.13)

46.12% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.58% (

0.12)

68.42% (

-0.12)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39% (

0.05)

14.61% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.28% (

0.09)

42.72% (

-0.09)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.8% (

0.09)

40.2% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.16% (

0.09)

76.84% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Lens 61.06%

Clermont 17.26%

Draw 21.66%

Lens	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.06%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.66%	0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 17.26%