Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Monaco |
49.46% ( -0.01) | 22.91% ( -0) | 27.62% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.21% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.56% ( 0.02) | 39.43% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.22% ( 0.03) | 61.78% ( -0.03) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.82% ( 0.01) | 16.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.35% ( 0.01) | 45.65% ( -0.01) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% ( 0.02) | 26.98% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% ( 0.03) | 62.32% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.56% Total : 49.46% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |