Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
1 - 3
Strasbourg

Comert (35')
Zeze (33'), Comert (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gameiro (3'), Emegha (62', 78')
Senaya (18'), Sow (35'), Bakwa (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Monaco
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Nantes 1-1 Strasbourg

Five wins and two draws have been posted by each of Nantes and Strasbourg across the last 14 Ligue 1 meetings between the two clubs since 2017, while the home side have only won one of the last seven head-to-head encounters, seemingly handing Strasbourg a slight psychological advantage. A win for either side would provide them with a much-needed boost in their quest for survival, but we can see the spoils being shared in a frustrating score draw this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Strasbourg
33.8% ( 0.25)	26.09% ( -0.04)	40.1% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 53.56% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.12% (

0.19)

50.88% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.24% (

0.17)

72.76% (

-0.17)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.39% (

0.25)

28.6% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.59% (

0.31)

64.4% (

-0.31)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

-0.03)

24.98% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.37% (

-0.04)

59.63% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Nantes 33.8%

Strasbourg 40.1%

Draw 26.09%

Nantes	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.8%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.1%