Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
31.55% ( 1.57) | 26.92% ( -0.13) | 41.53% ( -1.43) |
Both teams to score 50.28% ( 1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.23% ( 1.05) | 54.77% ( -1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.92% ( 0.86) | 76.08% ( -0.86) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.95% ( 1.68) | 32.05% ( -1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.48% ( 1.86) | 68.52% ( -1.86) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% ( -0.27) | 26% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% ( -0.37) | 61.02% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |