Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Auguste-Delaune II

Reims
1 - 0
Marseille

Mbemba (33' og.)
Diakite (18'), Stambouli (31'), Teuma (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kondogbia (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 1-1 Reims
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wednesday's game is close to call given Reims' recent home record and Marseille's underwhelming results on the road. However, Les Olympiens' motivation to end sixth and the hosts having little riding on the game mean Gasset's men are backed to edge the rescheduled clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reims in this match.

Result
Reims	Draw	Marseille
40.55% ( 0.03)	26.06% ( -0)	33.39% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.58% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.19% (

0.02)

50.8% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

0.02)

72.69% (

-0.02)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.28% (

0.03)

24.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.74% (

0.03)

59.26% (

-0.03)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

-0.01)

28.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.31% (

-0.01)

64.68% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Reims 40.55%

Marseille 33.39%

Draw 26.05%

Reims	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.55%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.39%