Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Auguste Delaune

Reims
1 - 2
Marseille

Balogun (13')
De Smet (14'), Agbadou (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sanchez (16', 29')
Guendouzi (14'), Malinovskyi (19'), Rongier (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Reims
Sunday, March 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Although Marseille have won each of their last seven away league matches, Tudor's men could struggle to extend their winning streak against Reims, who have claimed seven victories in their previous eight home games. With that in mind, we expect Reims and Marseille to play out a low-scoring draw at the Stade Auguste-Delaune, with the Red and Whites continuing their phenomenal unbeaten run under Will Still. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Reims had a probability of 26.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Reims win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Reims	Draw	Marseille
26.48% ( 0.02)	26.74% ( 0.01)	46.78% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.99% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.64% (

-0.03)

56.36% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.62% (

-0.02)

77.38% (

0.02)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21%

36.79% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42%

73.58% (

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91% (

-0.02)

24.09% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.63% (

-0.03)

58.38% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Reims 26.48%

Marseille 46.78%

Draw 26.74%

Reims	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.48%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 12.61% 0-2 @ 8.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.78%