Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Roazhon Park

Rennes
1 - 1
Lens

Salah (82')
Seidu (43'), Wooh (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fulgini (48')
Costa (21'), Medina (35'), Sotoca (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Metz 2-3 Rennes
Saturday, May 4 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 2-0 Lorient
Friday, May 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

With both sides coming in with renewed confidence after wins last time out and vying for sixth spot, we anticipate a tight contest on Sunday and see the visitors having enough to leave with a share of the spoils to move out of sight of Rennes in the fight for European spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38%. A win for Lens had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Lens
38% ( 0.03)	24.52% ( 0.01)	37.48% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 59.54% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.63% (

-0.04)

43.37% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.24% (

-0.04)

65.76% (

0.04)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3% (

-0)

22.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.64% (

-0)

56.36% (

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03% (

-0.04)

22.97% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.24% (

-0.06)

56.76% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Rennes 38%

Lens 37.48%

Draw 24.51%

Rennes	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51%	1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.48%