Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
22.93% ( -1.14) | 26.43% ( 0.42) | 50.64% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 45.62% ( -2.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.22% ( -2.43) | 57.78% ( 2.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.48% ( -1.95) | 78.52% ( 1.95) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.19% ( -2.45) | 40.81% ( 2.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.61% ( -2.27) | 77.38% ( 2.27) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.07% ( -0.71) | 22.93% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.3% ( -1.05) | 56.7% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.93% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.35) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 13.78% ( 0.96) 0-2 @ 10.14% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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