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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma logo

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Roma

Ranieri (18'), Mandragora (69')
Bonaventura (57'), Milenkovic (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aouar (58'), Llorente (90+5')
Mancini (6'), Paredes (37'), Huijsen (45'), N'Dicka (68'), Baldanzi (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: M. Haifa 3-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Roma 4-0 Brighton
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Roma

A repeat of the result in December's reverse fixture could be on the cards, as Fiorentina are far tougher to beat on home turf and Roma do not always produce their best outside the capital. The Giallorossi's rapid progress may therefore hit a minor bump in the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
45.46% (0.246 0.25) 26.07% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 28.46% (-0.295 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.32% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (-0.353 -0.35)52.7% (0.353 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (-0.305 -0.31)74.34% (0.303 0.3)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)23.12% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)56.98% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (-0.41 -0.41)33.23% (0.411 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15% (-0.456 -0.46)69.84% (0.455 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 45.46%
    Roma 28.46%
    Draw 26.07%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 11.25% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 45.46%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.46%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
20.4%
Draw
22.9%
Roma
56.7%
157
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Roma
1-1
Fiorentina
Lukaku (5')
Cristante (37'), Zalewski (41'), Paredes (80'), Llorente (90+6')
Zalewski (64'), Lukaku (87')
Martinez (66')
Ikone (64'), Biraghi (75'), Duncan (86')
Milenkovic (90+7')
May 27, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
2-1
Roma
Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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